BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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North Carolina
Class: 1 Class Rank: 24 Overall: (24-6) Overall Strength = 44.14
Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (12-5) | District: 1-01 Record: (15-5)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-03-2025 Home W 63.08 94 54 1 160 (20-11) Central Arkansas 18.70 21.30
2 11-07-2025 Home W * 56.77 87 74 1 19 (21- 9) Kansas 12.38 0.62
3 11-11-2025 Home W 31.91 89 74 1 273 (16-15) Radford -12.47 * 27.47
4 11-14-2025 Home W 52.78 97 53 1 346 (12-16) NC Central 8.39 * 35.61
5 11-18-2025 Home W 35.79 73 61 1 152 (25- 6) Navy -8.59 20.59
6 11-25-2025 Neutral W 42.39 85 70 1 146 (15-14) St Bonaventure -1.99 16.99
7 11-27-2025 Neutral L * 33.07 58 74 1 7 (24- 5) Michigan St -11.31 -4.69
8 12-02-2025 Away W * 50.82 67 64 1 23 (19-11) Kentucky 6.44 -3.44
9 12-07-2025 Home W 50.85 81 61 1 81 (13-17) Georgetown 6.47 13.53
10 12-13-2025 Home W 33.91 80 62 1 301 (13-18) SC Upstate -10.47 * 28.47
11 12-16-2025 Home W 43.84 77 58 1 143 (21-10) ETSU -0.54 19.54
12 12-20-2025 Neutral W * 43.73 71 70 1 33 (18-11) Ohio St -0.65 1.65
13 12-22-2025 Home W 65.17 99 51 1 240 (11-18) East Carolina 20.79 * 27.21
14 12-30-2025 Home W * * 45.83 79 66 1 77 (15-14) Florida St 1.45 11.55
15 01-03-2026 Away L * 31.47 83 97 1 31 (19-10) SMU -12.92 -1.08
16 01-10-2026 Home W * * 37.54 87 84 1 59 (15-15) Wake Forest -6.84 9.84
17 01-14-2026 Away L * * 34.77 90 95 1 60 (18-11) Stanford -9.61 4.61
18 01-17-2026 Away L * * 33.06 78 84 1 71 (20- 9) California -11.32 5.32
19 01-21-2026 Home W * * 53.87 91 69 1 82 (13-16) Notre Dame 9.48 12.52
20 01-24-2026 Away W * * 53.76 85 80 1 20 (26- 4) Virginia 9.38 -4.38
21 01-31-2026 Away W * * 46.57 91 75 1 154 (11-18) Georgia Tech 2.19 13.81
22 02-02-2026 Home W * * 42.88 87 77 1 78 (15-15) Syracuse -1.51 11.51
23 02-07-2026 Home W * * 58.10 71 68 1 1 (28- 2) Duke 13.72 -10.72
24 02-10-2026 Away L * * 36.56 66 75 1 40 (23- 6) Miami FL -7.83 -1.17
25 02-14-2026 Home W * * 44.53 79 65 1 96 (11-18) Pittsburgh 0.15 13.85
26 02-17-2026 Away L * * 22.01 58 82 1 32 (19-11) NC State -22.37 -1.63
27 02-21-2026 Away W * * 51.30 77 64 1 78 (15-15) Syracuse 6.92 6.08
28 02-23-2026 Home W * * 49.18 77 74 1 18 (21- 9) Louisville 4.80 -1.80
29 02-28-2026 Home W * * 42.47 89 82 1 51 (19-11) Virginia Tech -1.91 8.91
30 03-03-2026 Home W * * 43.47 67 63 1 38 (21- 9) Clemson -0.91 4.91
31 03/07/2026 Away * * 1 1 (28- 2) Duke -17.70
Averages 44.38 80.4 70.9
Best game: 65.17 = 48 point win over East Carolina
Worst game: 22.01 = 24 point loss to NC State
Team stdev: 10.18