BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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North Carolina
Class: 1 Class Rank: 27 Overall: (24-9) Overall Strength = 43.62
Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (12-7) | District: 1-01 Record: (15-7)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-03-2025 Home W 63.33 94 54 1 163 (22-12) Central Arkansas 19.43 20.57
2 11-07-2025 Home W * 56.16 87 74 1 21 (24-11) Kansas 12.27 0.73
3 11-11-2025 Home W 31.93 89 74 1 272 (16-16) Radford -11.97 * 26.97
4 11-14-2025 Home W 52.51 97 53 1 346 (14-18) NC Central 8.61 * 35.39
5 11-18-2025 Home W 35.43 73 61 1 159 (26- 8) Navy -8.47 20.47
6 11-25-2025 Neutral W 43.48 85 70 1 135 (17-17) St Bonaventure -0.42 15.42
7 11-27-2025 Neutral L * 32.81 58 74 1 9 (27- 8) Michigan St -11.09 -4.91
8 12-02-2025 Away W * 50.45 67 64 1 26 (22-14) Kentucky 6.55 -3.55
9 12-07-2025 Home W 52.08 81 61 1 75 (16-18) Georgetown 8.18 11.82
10 12-13-2025 Home W 33.74 80 62 1 306 (13-19) SC Upstate -10.16 * 28.16
11 12-16-2025 Home W 43.08 77 58 1 158 (23-11) ETSU -0.81 19.81
12 12-20-2025 Neutral W * 45.24 71 70 1 25 (21-13) Ohio St 1.34 -0.34
13 12-22-2025 Home W 65.36 99 51 1 242 (11-20) East Carolina 21.47 * 26.53
14 12-30-2025 Home W * * 47.08 79 66 1 65 (18-15) Florida St 3.18 9.82
15 01-03-2026 Away L * 30.32 83 97 1 42 (20-14) SMU -13.57 -0.43
16 01-10-2026 Home W * * 37.32 87 84 1 61 (18-17) Wake Forest -6.58 9.58
17 01-14-2026 Away L * * 34.94 90 95 1 60 (20-13) Stanford -8.96 3.96
18 01-17-2026 Away L * * 32.89 78 84 1 71 (22-12) California -11.01 5.01
19 01-21-2026 Home W * * 53.37 91 69 1 86 (13-18) Notre Dame 9.48 12.52
20 01-24-2026 Away W * * 53.98 85 80 1 19 (30- 6) Virginia 10.08 -5.08
21 01-31-2026 Away W * * 46.84 91 75 1 148 (11-20) Georgia Tech 2.94 13.06
22 02-02-2026 Home W * * 42.50 87 77 1 81 (15-17) Syracuse -1.40 11.40
23 02-07-2026 Home W * * 56.15 71 68 1 2 (35- 3) Duke 12.25 -9.25
24 02-10-2026 Away L * * 36.99 66 75 1 34 (26- 9) Miami FL -6.91 -2.09
25 02-14-2026 Home W * * 44.81 79 65 1 95 (13-20) Pittsburgh 0.91 13.09
26 02-17-2026 Away L * * 21.48 58 82 1 35 (20-14) NC State -22.42 -1.58
27 02-21-2026 Away W * * 50.90 77 64 1 81 (15-17) Syracuse 7.00 6.00
28 02-23-2026 Home W * * 48.26 77 74 1 18 (24-11) Louisville 4.36 -1.36
29 02-28-2026 Home W * * 42.46 89 82 1 55 (19-13) Virginia Tech -1.43 8.43
30 03-03-2026 Home W * * 43.20 67 63 1 37 (24-11) Clemson -0.70 4.70
31 03-07-2026 Away L * * 43.55 61 76 1 2 (35- 3) Duke -0.35 -14.65
32 03-12-2026 Neutral L * * 40.90 79 80 1 37 (24-11) Clemson -3.00 2.00
33 03-19-2026 Neutral L 35.07 78 82 1 1 49 (28- 8) VCU -8.82 4.82
Averages 43.90 79.7 71.6
Best game: 65.36 = 48 point win over East Carolina
Worst game: 21.48 = 24 point loss to NC State
Team stdev: 9.87